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Research & Insights

Data-driven crypto analysis and market notes, published by Clashware Sàrl, Lausanne.

ResearchFree

Best Crypto to Buy for Long Term: 2026 Durability Study

Searching for the best crypto to buy for long term? Across 970 scored tokens in November 2026, only 17 non-pegged assets pass all four durability filters.

StrictScore9 min read
ResearchFree

Which Crypto Protocols Make Money? A 970-Project Study

Across 970 scored crypto projects, only 53 reach 80 or higher on the STRICT Revenue pillar, and strong protocol fee income does not guarantee token value.

12 min read
ResearchFree

StrictScore Backtest Results October 2026: 2,782 Outcomes

StrictScore backtest results October 2026 audit 2,782 calls across 756 tokens, separating interim target touches from endpoint probability calibration.

7 min read
ResearchFree

StrictScore Score Changes October 2026: Rating Review

StrictScore score changes October 2026 examine selected upgrades and downgrades, linking reserve quality, token supply and protocol risks to rating moves.

6 min read
ResearchFree

Block-Level Access Lists: Ethereum Scaling Proposal

Learn how block-level access lists could help Ethereum process data efficiently, and why the proposal matters for rollups, validators, and developers in 2026.

6 min read
ResearchFree

Crypto Market Analysis Today: 6 Signals for Altcoin Risk

Crypto market analysis today starts with breadth, volume, and liquidity. Use six signals to separate a routine pullback from a fragile altcoin move.

4 min read
ResearchFree

Bitcoin Equity Research: A Four-Test Framework for 2026

Bitcoin equity research needs different evidence than stock analysis. Use four tests to assess BTC's rules, security, liquidity, and custody risk.

6 min read
ResearchFree

Best Crypto to Buy for Beginners: 2026 Research Checklist

Best crypto to buy for beginners? Use this 2026 checklist to compare BTC, ETH, SOL, stablecoins, and high-risk altcoins without chasing hype.

6 min read
ResearchFree

Krypto Analyse Tool: Crypto Research Platform Checklist

Use this krypto analyse tool checklist to compare crypto research platforms, verify market data, and avoid dashboards that confuse noise with signal.

6 min read
ResearchFree

Due Diligence Crypto: 7 Checks Before You Trust a Token

Use this due diligence crypto checklist to review token purpose, supply, security, liquidity, regulation, and incentives before you trust a project.

7 min read

April 2026

Best Crypto to Buy in May 2026: Top 8 Picks

Top 8 cryptocurrency picks for May 2026 ranked by STRICT score. Covers LINK, UNI, ETH, HYPE, BTC, AAVE, GNO, and SOL with risk levels.

Research9 min read

DeFi Exploits: Contagion, Bridge Security and Recovery

Drift and Kelp exposed governance and bridge weaknesses in DeFi. We examine the contagion, backing shortfalls, and proposals to improve protocol security.

Research7 min read

Bittensor's Governance Crisis: What Covenant AI's Exit Means

Covenant AI exited Bittensor and accused its leadership of decentralization theatre. We examine the sell-off, governance response, and risks for DeAI investors.

Research5 min read

AI Agent Security in Crypto: Risks, Exploits, and Fixes

Autonomous AI agents are expanding across DeFi, widening crypto's attack surface. ERC-8004, KYA, and wallet guardrails aim to secure on-chain agent execution.

Research7 min read

BIP-361: Freeze Unmigrated Bitcoin to Stop Quantum Theft?

BIP-361 would freeze bitcoin not moved to quantum-safe addresses within five years, including about 6.9M BTC with exposed public keys. The community is split.

Research8 min read

The PARITY Act: What US Crypto Tax Reform Means for You

The PARITY Act draft proposes changes to US crypto taxation. Here is what its stablecoin exemption, wash sale rules, and validator election would change.

Research5 min read

Bitcoin Whale Positions and Extreme Fear: Reading the Data

Bitcoin sentiment remains fearful, but funding rates and wallet flows need careful interpretation. We examine what these signals can and cannot establish.

Research4 min read

Tokenized Mutual Funds: Amundi, Spiko and Chainlink

Amundi and Spiko's SAFO fund connects institutional cash management with blockchain settlement. How Chainlink supports NAV reporting and fund transfers.

Research5 min read

DeFi Lending: Why Investors Look Beyond Headline Yields

DeFi lending offers more than a headline yield. We examine borrowing demand, composability, liquidity limits, and the risks behind lending protocol returns.

Research7 min read

AI Crypto Tokens: March 2026 Resilience and Risks

AI tokens showed relative resilience in Grayscale's March 2026 data. We examine the infrastructure developments, their timing and the risks for investors.

Research5 min read

Bitcoin 2026 and FOMC: Crypto's Late-April Calendar

Bitcoin 2026 and the April FOMC meeting share a week. Schwab plans spot crypto access in 2026, adding another development for investors to monitor closely.

Research4 min read

Best Crypto to Buy April 2026? 7 STRICT-Scored Picks

Seven cryptocurrencies ranked by StrictScore's STRICT fundamental score for April 2026, with risk levels, dated fee comparisons and sourced catalyst updates.

Research13 min read

The Crypto Banking Charter Race for Federal Oversight

Crypto firms are seeking OCC national trust bank charters. The race for federal oversight could reshape institutional custody, payments and stablecoin reserves.

Research5 min read

FBI Created Fake Crypto Tokens to Catch Market Manipulators

The DOJ charged 10 people across four firms over crypto market manipulation. FBI-created tokens helped expose the alleged schemes. Here is what happened.

Research7 min read

March 2026

Square Expands Bitcoin Lightning Payments to U.S. Sellers

Square expands default Bitcoin payments for eligible U.S. sellers. Taproot Assets supports multi-asset Lightning, and Kraken gains direct Fed access.

Research7 min read

Crypto's Infrastructure Revolution: What Falling Prices Built

Crypto prices fell while the industry built new infrastructure. From Fed payment access to Big Four audit plans, here is what changed during the downturn.

Research6 min read

Real Yield DeFi Protocols Are Winning the Q1 2026 Crash

While major meme coins sat nearly 90% below their peaks in Q1 2026, fee-generating DeFi protocols like Hyperliquid and Aave showed why real yield matters.

Research7 min read

Bitcoin Whale Accumulation: Testing the Supply Squeeze

Bitcoin whale accumulation can support a supply squeeze thesis, but balances alone do not prove purchases. What March evidence shows, and what it cannot.

Research5 min read

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF: Why Banks Are All In on Crypto

Morgan Stanley filed for a spot Bitcoin ETF as the first major US bank to enter. With SEC/CFTC classifying 16 cryptos as commodities, institutional adoption accelerates.

Research6 min read

S&P 500 Goes On-Chain: Hyperliquid's Wall Street Moment

S&P Dow Jones Indices licensed the S&P 500 to Trade[XYZ] on Hyperliquid. Grayscale filed for a HYPE ETF as on-chain derivatives draw institutional interest.

Research4 min read

The 20 Millionth Bitcoin: What Limited Issuance Means

On March 9, 2026, Bitcoin reached 20 million coins mined in block 939,999. With only 1 million BTC left to issue, here is what the supply math tells us.

Research4 min read

U.S. Quadruple Witching Ended in 2020: Deribit vs CME

In the U.S., quadruple witching stopped being accurate in 2020. What's still called that is triple witching, and neither Deribit nor CME has that structure.

Research9 min read

FTX's $2.2B Creditor Payout: What It Means for Crypto Markets

FTX Recovery Trust plans a $2.2B creditor payout on March 31. We examine the recovery terms and uncertain effects on Bitcoin and altcoin liquidity.

Research6 min read

Altcoin Capitulation: 38% Near All-Time Lows

Reports put 38% of altcoins near all-time lows in March 2026. On-chain data describe market stress, but do not establish when a recovery will begin.

Research5 min read

Kaspa GHOSTDAG: How BlockDAG Hits 10 Blocks/Second on PoW

Kaspa runs GHOSTDAG, a proof-of-work protocol that keeps parallel blocks instead of discarding them. The network produces blocks at 10 per second.

Research8 min read

Crypto Q1 2026 So Far: Winners, Losers, and Q2 Outlook

Bitcoin fell about 16% from the start of 2026 through March 17. We examine the partial-quarter data, sector risks, and what investors should watch in Q2.

Research5 min read

March 2026 Crypto Stress Signals and Their Limits

Five crypto market stress signals frame the March 2026 bottom debate. Their definitions and evidence limits matter when assessing whether selling is exhausted.

Research7 min read

EigenCloud: Can Crypto's Verifiable Cloud Replace AWS?

EigenLayer rebranded to EigenCloud, launching verifiable compute and AI services. With $9.2B TVL, we examine technology, token economics, and adoption risks.

Research6 min read

Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: Exposure and Defenses

Bitcoin faces a future quantum threat when public keys are exposed. Explore the uncertain timeline, proposed defenses, and practical address-hygiene steps.

Research6 min read

Railgun Privacy: TVL and the Limits of Compliance Proofs

Railgun held about $83.2M on March 12, 2026, below its August 2025 peak. Its privacy proofs check transaction lists, without guaranteeing legal compliance.

Research8 min read

Nasdaq Partners with Kraken to Tokenize Stocks: TradFi Meets DeFi

Nasdaq and Kraken announce a tokenized equities gateway. With $25B in xStocks volume and SEC clarity improving, the TradFi-DeFi convergence is accelerating.

Research5 min read

Crypto Derivatives Go Beyond Crypto: Oil Trading Surges on DEX

Decentralized exchanges now trade oil and commodities 24/7. Hyperliquid's HIP-3 markets hit $720M in weekend volume as geopolitical events drive DeFi perps.

Research6 min read

Crypto Dev Activity: AI Projects Building Through the Bear

Developers keep shipping across AI and infrastructure protocols despite extreme fear. Which teams build through the bear market could shape the next cycle.

Research5 min read

DePIN's Real Numbers: Akash's Verifiable Spend vs. Grass

Akash publishes onchain lease and spend data anyone can check. Compare that evidence with Grass disclosures and the limits of DePIN revenue claims.

Research8 min read

x402 Protocol: How the HTTP 402 Payment Flow Works

x402 turns HTTP 402 into a payment handshake for AI agents. We examine the request flow, token support, and the project's reported payment activity.

Research12 min read

Layer 2 Networks During the Q1 2026 Crypto Downturn

Layer 2 networks face a difficult crypto market in early 2026. We examine their usage, scaling economics, institutional adoption, and token risks.

Research5 min read

Fed March 2026 Decision: What Crypto Investors Should Watch

The March 2026 Fed decision could affect crypto markets through rates, guidance, and inflation expectations. Track evidence before drawing causal conclusions.

Research4 min read

Polkadot Plans a DOT Issuance Cut, Not a Bitcoin Halving

Polkadot plans a March 14, 2026 issuance cut toward a 2.1 billion DOT cap. Its governance-approved schedule differs from Bitcoin and can change by vote.

Research7 min read

Bitcoin Custody Race: Wall Street Banks Build Crypto Vaults

Morgan Stanley, Citi, and major banks race to launch Bitcoin custody services in 2026. What this infrastructure push means for institutional adoption.

Research6 min read

March 2026 Token Unlocks: Supply and Selling Risk

March 2026 token unlocks raise questions about supply, recipients and sell pressure. Review the WBT forecast and why burns cannot guarantee price support.

Research6 min read

LayerZero's Zero Blockchain: Wall Street's Bet on Omnichain Infrastructure

LayerZero announced Zero with Citadel Securities, DTCC, and other finance partners. We examine its institutional ambitions, ZRO supply risks, and execution.

Research5 min read

February 2026

Tokenized Gold Surges While Crypto Crashes

PAXG rose about 10% as Bitcoin fell 16% from February 1 to 28. How tokenized gold offers a crypto hedge, with issuer, custody and liquidity risks.

Research5 min read

x402 Protocol: How AI Agents Pay with Crypto

Coinbase's x402 protocol lets AI agents pay for HTTP resources with crypto. We examine payment mechanics, Google's AP2 integration, adoption, and risks.

Research8 min read

Centrifuge CFG Rally: Token Price and RWA Adoption

CFG surged after a Korean exchange listing in February 2026. We examine Centrifuge's tokenized-asset business and why adoption differs from token value.

Research7 min read

EVMbench: Can AI Agents Secure DeFi Better Than Humans?

EVMbench tests AI agents on known smart contract vulnerabilities. Its exploit and detection results show why benchmark success needs careful interpretation.

Research5 min read

DeFi Meets Real-World Assets: On-Chain Treasuries Surge Amid Bear

Tokenized Treasuries, BUIDL trading through UniswapX, and RWA-backed lending connect traditional assets with DeFi. We examine the products and their risks.

Research6 min read

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Hit 5, Tying Its All-Time Low

Bitcoin's Fear and Greed Index tied its record low of 5 in February 2026. Historical crashes show why extreme fear alone cannot establish a price bottom.

Research10 min read

Cardano ETF Prospects: Filings and Futures in February 2026

Grayscale's Cardano ETF filing and new CME ADA futures expand institutional options. We examine listing criteria, protocol catalysts, and execution risks.

Research5 min read

Synthetix V3 Bets on Ethereum L1: A DeFi Comeback Story

Synthetix refocuses its perpetuals exchange on Ethereum mainnet. Explore the launch, token economics, competition and risks behind its comeback thesis.

Research6 min read

Crypto's $12B Deleveraging: What February's Futures Unwind Means

Bitcoin futures open interest dropped 20% in days during early February 2026. Here is what this orderly crypto deleveraging signals for markets.

Research6 min read

Token Unlocks: How Supply Shocks Shape Crypto Prices

Token unlocks can increase selling pressure. Research on more than 16,000 events examines how prices behave before, during, and after supply releases.

Research5 min read

X Smart Cashtags: What Trading Links Could Change

X plans Smart Cashtags with market data and links to trading services. We examine possible adoption, regulatory questions, and limits of the announcement.

Research6 min read

Meme Coins and Market Recoveries: Reading Risk Appetite

PEPE and DOGE outpaced Bitcoin in the February bounce. Their daily gains show speculative risk appetite, but do not prove a broader recovery will follow.

Research5 min read

Bittensor TAO: Decentralized AI Compute and ETF Prospects

Explore Bittensor TAO through its subnet architecture, post-halving supply, ETF filings, and the adoption risks facing decentralized AI infrastructure.

Research6 min readPremium

Stablecoin Yield War: Why Banks and Crypto Are Fighting Over Your Interest

Banks and crypto firms clash over interest-bearing stablecoins in Washington. The outcome could reshape $303B in digital dollars and traditional banking.

Research7 min read

Berachain's Proof of Liquidity: A New Consensus for DeFi Capital Efficiency

Berachain introduces Proof of Liquidity, a consensus mechanism that keeps staked capital productive in DeFi. Here's how it works and what it means for Layer 1s.

Research6 min read

Optimism Revenue Sharing: The Superchain Buyback Experiment

Optimism approved 50% of its Superchain revenue for OP buybacks. How a 12-month pilot worth roughly $8M a year could reshape Layer 2 tokenomics.

Research6 min read

Ethereum Glamsterdam and Hegota: Upgrade Roadmap

Ethereum’s Glamsterdam plans focus on execution changes, while Hegota’s features remain under discussion. Explore the proposals, dependencies, and open risks.

Research6 min read

Meteora STRICT Score Analysis: TVL and DLMM Fee Design

Meteora earns a 79 STRICT score as Solana liquidity infrastructure, with $459M in TVL, bin-based DLMM dynamic fees, and 52% of MET supply vesting to 2031.

Research9 min read

Layer 1 Comparison 2026: Ethereum Leads DeFi TVL

Compare seven Layer 1 blockchains using February 2026 DeFi TVL and STRICT scores, with Ethereum leading capital depth and upgrade targets treated as forecasts.

Research5 min read

DeFi Derivatives During Crypto Market Capitulation

Bitcoin falls sharply as fear grips crypto markets. We examine derivatives platforms, trading fees, institutional access, and the risks investors face.

Research4 min read

DeFi's February 2026 Crash Test: TVL Fell, Fees Spiked

DeFi TVL fell 17.1% from January 29 to February 5, 2026. Fees at Aave, Hyperliquid, and Morpho rose on February 5, showing how fees differed from token prices.

Research10 min read

Why Hyperliquid Outperforms in Bear Markets: The Utility Token Thesis

HYPE gained 38.5% as Bitcoin fell 11.1% in the week shown by the February 1 snapshot. We examine Hyperliquid's fee model, utility thesis and investment risks.

Research5 min read

AI Crypto Tokens Fall During Bitcoin's Correction

AI tokens fell in the week to February 3, 2026. Returns varied across five tokens, but do not establish capital rotation into AI infrastructure.

Research4 min read

Cross-Chain Bridges 2026: LayerZero vs Wormhole vs CCIP

How lock-and-mint, liquidity-pool, and messaging bridges move assets, how LayerZero, Wormhole, and Chainlink CCIP compare, and what hacks reveal about trust.

Research12 min read

YLDS: The First SEC-Registered Yield-Bearing Stablecoin Explained

YLDS is an SEC-registered, yield-bearing dollar token issued by Figure Certificate Company. Learn how its variable interest, reserves, and transfer rules work.

Research6 min read

January 2026

Chainlink Kurs: Aktueller Preis, Prognose 2026 und Analyse

Alles zum Chainlink Kurs: Aktueller LINK Preis, CME Futures, ETF-Entwicklung, Preisprognosen 2026 und fundamentale Analyse des fuehrenden Oracle-Netzwerks.

Research5 min read

Prediction Markets: Kalshi, Polymarket, and Coinbase

Kalshi, Polymarket, and Coinbase bring different models to prediction markets. This analysis examines their access, blockchain infrastructure, and legal risks.

Research5 min read

Axie Infinity and the GameFi Tokenomics Debate

Axie Infinity changed Origins rewards in January 2026. We examine gaming token economics, infrastructure, and the limits of drawing conclusions from prices.

Research4 min read

MegaETH Targets Feb 9 for Real-Time Ethereum Launch

MegaETH promises 100,000 TPS and millisecond latency. As mainnet launches February 9, we analyze what this means for Ethereum's Layer 2 landscape.

Research5 min read

VanEck Launches First US Avalanche ETF with Staking Rewards

VanEck's VAVX debuts on Nasdaq with spot Avalanche exposure and potential staking rewards. We examine fund fees, staking allocation, taxes, and risks.

Research6 min read

Hyperliquid ETF Filings Signal New Era for DeFi Perpetuals

Bitwise and 21Shares HYPE ETF filings bring institutional interest to Hyperliquid. We examine HyperEVM, trading revenues, token supply and security risks.

Research5 min readPremium

Stablecoin Market Explosion: How $309 Billion Changed Crypto Payments

Stablecoins hit $309 billion in market value. Explore payments, institutional adoption, and the GENIUS Act, with transfer figures from a16z's 2025 report.

Research6 min read

Crypto's Retail-Institutional Divergence: The 2026 Paradox

Crypto funds received $2.17B in the week to January 16, while sentiment remained fearful. We examine the evidence for a retail-institutional divergence.

Research6 min read

DePIN Revenue Reality: Which Networks Earn Real Fees in 2026

Independent fee revenue for Helium, Render, Filecoin, and Akash, checked against DefiLlama, plus Aethir's self-reported ARR. Emissions are not revenue.

Research10 min read

Bitcoin Layer 2: Lightning, Stacks and Rootstock in 2026

Compare Lightning payments, Stacks smart contracts and Rootstock: dated January 2026 network data, bridge tradeoffs and the limits of token investment cases.

Research9 min read

Why 2026 Could Be the Year of Ethereum

Standard Chartered makes a bullish Ethereum forecast for 2026. Treasury holdings, ETF flows, and network upgrades explain the institutional investment case.

Research6 min read

Bitcoin's Quantum Problem: Why BTQ's Testnet Launch Matters

Millions of BTC face future quantum risks from exposed public keys. BTQ has launched a testnet using post-quantum signatures. We examine the security tradeoffs.

Research6 min read

RWA Tokenization Supercycle: Real-World Assets in 2026

Learn how BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity, and Ondo Finance are reshaping institutional crypto adoption with tokenized U.S. Treasuries and on-chain funds.

Research6 min read

Solana's Alpenglow Upgrade: The Consensus Revolution That Could Redefine Speed

Solana's Alpenglow upgrade promises about 85x faster finality at 150ms. Here's what the Votor and Rotor protocols mean for SOL and blockchain scalability.

Research5 min read

Privacy Coins: Monero, Zcash, and Dash in 2026

Monero reached a January record near $798 as privacy coins drew attention. We examine XMR, ZEC, and DASH, their technical plans, and regulatory exposure.

Research5 min readPremium

Firedancer and Solana's Client Diversity

Firedancer adds a separate Solana validator implementation. Its resilience benefits depend on client diversity, stake distribution, and consensus thresholds.

Research7 min read

Layer 2 Consolidation: Which Rollups Can Survive 2026?

21Shares report predicts most Ethereum L2s won't survive as Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism dominate. Analysis of the consolidation trend.

Research5 min read

AI Agents Are Taking Over DeFi: Autonomous Trading in 2026

AI agents can automate trading and capital management in DeFi. Explore the infrastructure, potential applications and risks behind this emerging technology.

Research6 min readPremium

Bitcoin's $100K Wall: Why $754M ETF Inflows Stalled Below

A three-month-high $754M ETF inflow signals institutional interest, yet Bitcoin stays below $100K. We analyze what is holding BTC back in January 2026.

Research5 min read

SEC-CFTC Cooperation 2026: How Regulatory Unity Reshapes Crypto

SEC and CFTC are coordinating on crypto regulation. Learn how their joint work, proposed exemptions, and stablecoin rules could affect investors.

Research5 min read

Crypto Week Ahead: January 12-18, 2026 Market Outlook

Key events, catalysts, and price levels to watch as Bitcoin stabilizes above $90K and regulatory clarity approaches. Your complete guide to the week ahead.

Research4 min read

Bitcoin DeFi's $7B Question: Beyond Wrapped BTC

Bitcoin DeFi holds nearly $7 billion in TVL on January 10, 2026 as Stacks' sBTC, Babylon staking, and Layer 2 networks compete to deploy dormant BTC.

Research7 min read

DeFi Governance Risks: Why Bull Markets Create Hidden Vulnerabilities

With DeFi TVL near $119 billion, governance attacks and protocol exploits remain a risk. Here's what investors need to know to protect their capital.

Research6 min readPremium

Bitcoin ETF Flows 2026: Assessing the Bottom Call

Bitcoin ETF flows measure fund activity, while a market-bottom call remains a forecast. How to assess January 2026 claims without confusing flows with intent.

Research7 min read

RWA Tokenization Goes Mainstream in 2026: BlackRock and Ondo

BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Ondo Finance lead institutional RWA adoption into 2026 as tokenized U.S. Treasuries and private credit expand across blockchains.

Research5 min readPremium

Base and Arbitrum: Value Secured and Upgrade Risk

Base and Arbitrum offer different routes to Ethereum scaling. Compare value secured, token exposure and upgrade controls before choosing either network.

Research9 min read

January 2026 Meme Coin Rally: Early Gains and Cycle Risk

PEPE, DOGE, SHIB, BONK, and WIF rallied in the opening days of January 2026, yet every token still trades far below its prior cycle all-time high.

Research4 min read

Bitcoin Dominance and the Altseason Question in 2026

Bitcoin dominance eased after a late-December high. Historical comparisons and market indicators help assess whether broader altcoin strength could follow.

Research6 min readPremium

The Great Altcoin Reset: Why 2026 Won't Be Like 2017

The altcoin market calls for selective research. Explore how institutional flows, fragmented liquidity and fundamentals could shape crypto investing in 2026.

Research5 min read

Ethereum Validator Queues: Reading the Staking Signal

Ethereum validator queues offer clues about staking demand. Assess the signal alongside institutional activity and price data, without assuming a repeat rally.

Research5 min read

Liquid Staking 2026: Lido, Ether.fi, and Jito

Compare liquid staking and restaking through Lido, Ether.fi, and Jito. Learn how rewards, token liquidity, collateral overlap, and protocol risks differ.

Research11 min read

The CLARITY Act: Crypto Regulation in January 2026

A Senate Banking Committee markup expected in January could shape crypto regulation. What the CLARITY Act proposes for digital assets and their oversight.

Research7 min read

Ethereum's Fusaka Aftermath: Layer 2 Fees in 2026

Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade brought PeerDAS to mainnet. BPO2 on January 7, 2026 adds blob capacity; median Arbitrum and Base transactions cost under a cent.

Research6 min read

Crypto in 2026: Why This Year Could Break the Four-Year Cycle

Institutional demand and regulatory changes could alter Bitcoin’s four-year cycle. This 2026 outlook examines the forecasts and the risks behind that thesis.

Research3 min read

December 2025

AI Agents in Crypto: Grading the 2026 Breakout Call

This article examines the 2026 AI agent thesis, its infrastructure and risks, and the evidence needed to distinguish token narratives from operating products.

Research4 min read

Solana's 2025 Breakout: How SOL Became the Institutional Alternative

Solana expanded its institutional role in 2025 with U.S. spot ETP launches, JPMorgan-arranged debt issuance, and about $1.65 trillion in DEX trading.

Research5 min read

CFTC Tokenized Collateral: How Crypto Became Margin Asset

The CFTC's December 2025 pilot allows Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC as derivatives margin. Learn what this means for institutional capital efficiency and crypto adoption.

Research6 min read

Ethereum and DeFi: Assessing the Whale Rotation Thesis

Assess the case for rotating from Ethereum into DeFi tokens, using protocol TVL and distinguishing wallet transfers from verified sales and investor intent.

Research4 min readPremium

Stablecoins Top $300B as Institutions Adopt Them

Stablecoins exceeded $300 billion in December 2025. Explore institutional adoption, BlackRock's tokenized fund, and the limits of market-size comparisons.

Research7 min read

DeFi Yield Strategies: Finding Returns in a Bear Market

Explore DeFi yield strategies for market downturns, from stablecoin lending to delta-neutral positions, with their mechanics, costs, and principal risks.

Research7 min readPremium

Stablecoin Economics: USDC, USDT, and DAI Comparison Guide

Compare USDC, USDT, and DAI stablecoin mechanics, reserve composition, and DeFi integration. Learn which stablecoin fits your strategy.

Research6 min read

2025 Year-End Crypto Review: Key Lessons and 2026 Outlook

A comprehensive look at the defining trends of 2025, from institutional ETF adoption to regulatory progress, and what they signal for the year ahead.

Research5 min read

Record $27B Crypto Options Expiry on Deribit in Dec 2025

A record $27 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options was due to expire on Deribit on December 26, 2025. Here is what positioning could and could not show.

Research5 min read

Crypto Regulation 2026: SEC Listing Standards and ETFs

The SEC's September 2025 listing standards simplify launches for qualifying crypto ETPs. We examine what the changes mean for institutional access in 2026.

Research5 min readPremium

Real-World Assets on Blockchain: Tokenization Transforms Finance

From BlackRock's BUIDL fund to JPMorgan's Solana commercial paper deal, institutional RWA tokenization accelerated in 2025. Here is what it means for investors.

Research8 min readPremium

Why Arbitrum Became the Go-To Layer 2 for Institutions in 2025

Arbitrum has emerged as the dominant Layer 2 for institutional DeFi, attracting BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and over 1,000 projects. Here's what makes it different.

Research6 min readPremium

How to Navigate the December 2025 Crypto Market Downturn

Bitcoin traded near $88,000 in late December 2025. We examine market uncertainty, investor strategies and the limits of interpreting on-chain activity.

Research5 min read

Why Institutions Are Buying Bitcoin While Prices Fall

Vanguard opens access to third-party crypto funds while Bitcoin prices fall. We examine ETF demand, corporate treasuries, and the institutional thesis.

Research5 min read

Why Crypto Diversification Matters: Beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum

Data shows modest crypto diversification improves risk-adjusted returns. Learn allocation strategies and which altcoins are gaining institutional attention.

Research5 min read

Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle: Timmer's Warning for 2026

Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer warns of a weak 2026 while remaining bullish on Bitcoin long term. We examine his cycle argument and competing market scenarios.

Research5 min read